Wed. Sep 18th, 2024

Back in June of 2023, we wrote, “Demographics and the Airline Ecosystem” where we highlighted the massive shortage of aviation mechanics in the airline ecosystem. This past weekend, there was the 4th airline incident that potentially jeopardized human lives. From the Associated Press:

A United Airlines jetliner headed to Mexico City from San Francisco made an emergency landing in Los Angeles on Friday after the crew reported a hydraulics issue, in the fourth emergency involving a United Airlines flight this week.

source: APnews.com

According to Arsa.org there will be a shortage of 48,000 aviation mechanics by 2027. Do you want to guess the cause of all these shortages? If you guessed retiring baby boomers then you got the answer right. Most of these issues are happening because millions of baby boomers, including aviation mechanics, are retiring.

If there are large shortages of aviation mechanics then who will maintenance the airplanes? If the planes can’t be maintained will poor maintenance cost human lives or will the cost of flights sky rocket into the stratosphere?

Is the shortage of aviation mechanics the cause of the current turbulence in the airline ecosystem? Doors flying off planes, tires dropping, hydraulic failures and other issues are suddenly appearing in repeated sequence. Is it an odd coincidence or a growing chronic problem?

We’re researching companies that specialize in training aviation mechanics and are considering positioning in these firms because it appears that the future will be really bright for these firms but we do worry about catastrophic airline failures in the meantime.

For now, the best thing to do is to stay tuned, stay safe, solvent and profitable…

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