The BLS released the late CPI report this morning and it’s bad!
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - SEPTEMBER 2025
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, after rising 0.4 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. Note that September CPI data collection was completed before the lapse in appropriations.
The index for gasoline rose 4.1 percent in September and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase, as the index for energy rose 1.5 percent over the month. The food index increased 0.2 percent over the month as the food at home index rose 0.3 percent and the food away from home index increased 0.1 percent.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September, after rising 0.3 percent in each of the 2 preceding months. Indexes that increased over the month include shelter, airline fares, recreation, household furnishings and operations, and apparel. The indexes for motor vehicle insurance, used cars and trucks, and communication were among the few major indexes that decreased in September.
The all items index rose 3.0 percent for the 12 months ending September, after rising 2.9 percent over the 12 months ending August. The all items less food and energy index also rose 3.0 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index increased 2.8 percent for the 12 months ending September. The food index increased 3.1 percent over the last year.
Looking at the data graphically with the help of AI we get this chart below. It's all bad! There is a whole lot of red (increases) in the chart but electricity and gas are outliers. Food continues to be expensive.
And here is the BLS Table from the BLS website.
The fed is expected to cut rates at the next FOMC meeting which we can’t help to think won’t be good for inflation. We may be in a situation where inflation spikes terribly in the upcoming months. Be prepared and stay tuned, stay profitable and stay solvent….