Daily Brief: Trade Deficit Widens to $105.8B as AI Imports Surge, Services Employment Rebounds
The U.S. goods trade deficit surged 27% to $105.8B on AI-related imports. ISM Services employment rebounds from contraction. Dow tops 53,000. Inflation...
Daily Brief: 57K: June Jobs Miss by Half, Dow Hits Record as Rate Hike Odds Collapse
June added only 57,000 jobs—half the consensus—while April-May revisions erased 74,000 more. Markets cheered the weakness as Fed hike odds cratered...
Daily Brief: June Jobs Miss Hits a Wall — U.S. Adds Just 57K as Hiring Stalls
June payrolls came in at just 57K — half the expected 110K — as leisure and hospitality shed 61K jobs. Markets rallied on dovish Fed implications....
Daily Brief: PPI Shock at 6.5% — What It Means for Rates, Markets, and Your Portfolio
May PPI surged 6.5% YoY — hottest since Nov 2022. Energy costs drove the spike as jobless claims edged up. What it means for rates, markets, and your next move.
Daily Brief: The 4.2% CPI Print Is an Energy Shock — Here’s How to Position for It
May CPI hit 4.2% but it's an energy shock, not broad inflation. Here's what to own, hedge, and avoid as gasoline surges 40.5% and core holds at 2.9%.
BLS: September 2025 CPI (It’s Bad!)
The BLS released the late CPI report this morning and it’s bad! CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - SEPTEMBER 2025The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on…
BLS: August 2025 CPI
The BLS released a whopper of a CPI report this morning and it showed inflation flaring up again. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - JULY 2025The Consumer Price Index for All Urban…
More Inflation Evidence
The BLS released the July inflation report and it’s not moving in the right direction toward lower inflation. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - JULY 2025The Consumer Price Index for All Urban…
Inflation Is Back
The BEA released the core inflation information this morning and it’s not good. And to add injury to insult, the BLS released the Employment Cost Index Summary which shows an…
BLS: January 2025 PPI
Not good. The BLS released the PPI report and it’s more bad news following the inflationary CPI report. PRODUCER PRICE INDEXES - JANUARY 2025The Producer Price Index for final demand…